BCMoore Rankings - NCAA Football

C = conference
  * = game played against a conference opponent
Stren = rating of individual game played by team, standard regression
O = overtime
Resid = measure of team performance versus expectation.
  Negative Resid = team played below expectations.
  Positive Resid = team played above expectations.
M = modifications:
  X = game is excluded from pre-regression data set.
  * = game is excluded when developing post-regression Mod score.
Predict = standard regression rankings for played games.
Predict = modified regression rankings for future games.
Team Stdev = measure of variability of the team based on Stren scores.


-----------------------------------------------


Montana St

Class: 1B Class Rank: 6 Conference: Big Sky Conference Record: (9-0) Overall: (11-1) Overall Strength =  143.21

  N Date       Location  C  Stren Pts Opp O Cl Rnk ( W - L ) Opponent               Resid M Predict
  1 09/03/2022 Home    W   131.22  40  17   1B  98 (  4-  7) McNeese St            -10.05 *   33.05                      
  2 09/10/2022 Home    W   136.69  63  13   1B 128 (  2-  9) Morehead St            -4.58 *   54.58                      
  3 09/17/2022 Neutral L   123.52  28  68   1A  16 (  9-  3) Oregon St             -17.75    -22.25                      
  4 09/24/2022 Away    W * 122.30  38  35   1B  68 (  3-  8) Eastern Washington    -18.97     21.97                      
  5 10/01/2022 Home    W * 158.51  41  24   1B   9 (  6-  5) UC-Davis               17.24     -0.24                      
  6 10/08/2022 Home    W * 138.44  37   6   1B  92 (  1- 10) Idaho St               -2.83 *   33.83                      
  7 10/15/2022 Away    W * 133.90  37  14   1B  90 (  3-  8) Northern Colorado      -7.37     30.37                      
  8 10/22/2022 Home    W * 146.31  43  38   1B   5 ( 10-  3) Weber St                5.04     -0.04                      
  9 11/05/2022 Away    W * 126.82  41  38   1B  50 (  3-  8) Northern Arizona      -14.45     17.45                      
 10 11/12/2022 Away    W * 154.59  72  28   1B  94 (  2-  9) Cal Poly SLO           13.32     30.68                      
 11 11/19/2022 Home    W * 173.63  55  21   1B  14 (  8-  5) Montana                32.36      1.64                      
 12 12/03/2022 Home    W * 149.31  33  25   1B   5 ( 10-  3) Weber St                8.04     -0.04                      
      Averages             141.27  44.0 27.2

Best game:  173.63 = 34 point win over Montana
Worst game: 122.30 = 3 point win over Eastern Washington
Team stdev:  15.61